What this forecast can and cannot tell you.

ATAR Forecast maps your course rank percentile to historical school performance. It uses published cohort sizes and mark distributions where available, published band counts where those are available, or a school course average with an assumed spread. With only Band 6 counts it must assume historical cohorts were the same size as yours, which is less reliable. Each school year is paired with the same year of UAC scaling data. The central estimate is the median of the five scenarios; the range is historical variation, not a validated confidence interval.

No. ATAR Forecast is independent of UAC and NESA. UAC does not publish the full annual student level calculation needed to reproduce an official future ATAR. The result is a research estimate and should be read as a range, not a promise.

Ranks do not reveal the size of the mark gaps inside a cohort, how the cohort will perform in the final exams or which courses will count in the best ten units. Small cohorts, unusual school years and late changes in performance create wider uncertainty.

The model follows ATAR unit rules. One unit extension courses contribute up to 50 marks when paired with their required course. Mathematics Extension 1 is treated as two units only in the eligible Mathematics Extension 1 plus Mathematics Extension 2 pattern.

An account keeps records separate and lets you retrieve your saved forecasts. Clerk provides email sign up and Google sign in. Before entering ranks, you agree to the Terms and Privacy Policy and to your forecast information being stored for the service and model improvement. Tutoring contact is a separate, optional choice after your result. The alumni calibration form does not require an account.

A forecast record includes an account identifier and email, school, target HSC year, courses, ranks, cohort sizes, estimated marks, ATAR scenarios, model version and consent records. A goal and preparation details are optional. A mobile number and postcode are requested if you choose tutoring contact. The alumni study stores a separate account free calibration record. The forecast form does not request a full name, password, exact birth date, street address or school login details.

Only if you choose tutoring contact separately after seeing your result. You can use the forecast without choosing it. Results day invitations require separate permission, including applicable permission previously given. Your profile is not passed to a third party tutoring provider without an additional disclosure and permission process. You can use the unsubscribe page at any time without signing in or giving a reason.

Yes. Submit a privacy request using the link below. Include the account email or anonymous submission reference that helps identify the record. Requests are recorded in the private operations console for review.